NYSE: DFS - Discover Financial Services

Yield per half year: +49.95%
Sector: Financials

Current price
85.1 $
Average price
105.54 $ +24.02%

Average analyst price
141 $ +65.69%
Price based on EPS
134.75 $ +58.34%
Price according to DDM model
43.75 $ -48.59%
Price according to DCF model (ebitda)
131.56 $ +54.59%
Discount price Net Income
76.66 $ -9.92%
6/10

Average analyst price

Fair price = 141 $
Current price = 85.1 $ (difference = +65.69%)

Idea Price forecast Changes Expiration date Analyst
More details 119 $ +33.9 $ (39.84%) 15.01.2025 BMO Capital
More details 150 $ +64.9 $ (76.26%) 05.01.2025 Jefferies
More details 135 $ +49.9 $ (58.64%) 05.01.2025 Barclays
More details 160 $ +74.9 $ (88.01%) 04.01.2025 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 134.75 $
Current price = 85.1 $ (difference = +58.34%)


Data

Dividend Discount Model

Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 43.75 $
Current price = 85.1 $ (difference = -48.59%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 131.56 $
Current price = 85.1 $ (difference = +54.59%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 1 722.08 $
Current price = 85.1 $ (difference = +1 923.59%)


Data

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