Average analyst price
Fair price = 58.2 ₽
Current price = 29.61 ₽ (difference = +96.6%)
| Idea | Price forecast | Changes | Expiration date | Analyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| РУСАЛ готовится выныривать | 81.72 ₽ | +52.12 ₽ (176.03%) | 26.11.2025 | АКБФ |
| Русал: тянет на дно | 47 ₽ | +17.4 ₽ (58.76%) | 31.12.2024 | Риком-Траст |
| Русал выплывает из глубин | 54 ₽ | +24.4 ₽ (82.4%) | 24.05.2025 | ПСБ |
| Русал: момент настал | 67.3 ₽ | +37.7 ₽ (127.33%) | 08.05.2025 | Велес Капитал |
| Русал: шанс на почти $1 млрд. прибыли | 41 ₽ | +11.4 ₽ (38.49%) | 15.03.2025 | РСХБ Брокер |
Price based on EPS
Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 3.34 ₽
Current price = 29.61 ₽ (difference = -88.73%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based on EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 33.11 ₽
Current price = 29.61 ₽ (difference = +11.84%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based on FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 58.68 ₽
Current price = 29.61 ₽ (difference = +98.2%)
Data
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