NYSE: BIRK - Birkenstock Holding plc

Yield per half year: +18.68%
Sector: Consumer Cyclical

Current price: 51.53 $
Average price: 56.72 $

Average analyst price: 62.75 $ +21.77%
Price based on EPS: 5.49 $ -89.35%
Price according to DCF model (FCF): 63.12 $ +22.5%
7.5/10

Average analyst price

Fair price = 62.75 $
Current price = 51.53 $ (difference = +21.77%)

Idea Price forecast Changes Expiration date Analyst
More details 65 $ +13.47 $ (26.14%) 28.12.2024 Citigroup
More details 58 $ +6.47 $ (12.56%) 22.12.2024 Morgan Stanley
More details 70 $ +18.47 $ (35.84%) 10.12.2024 Deutsche Bank
More details 58 $ +6.47 $ (12.56%) 09.12.2024 Goldman Sachs

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 5.49 $
Current price = 51.53 $ (difference = -89.35%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 166.47 $
Current price = 51.53 $ (difference = +223.06%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 63.12 $
Current price = 51.53 $ (difference = +22.5%)


Data

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