X5 Retail Group

Yield per half year: -6.43%
Dividend yield: 21.42%
Sector: Ритейл

Fair price X5 Retail Group

Current price
2722
Average price
3472.81+27.58%

Average analyst price
4146.95+52.35%
Price based on EPS
1156.45-57.51%
6.67/10

Average analyst price

Fair price = 4 146.95
Current price = 2 722 ₽ (difference = +52.35%)

Idea Price forecast Changes Expiration date Analyst
ИКС 5 на раздаче: дивиденды в тележку 4000 ₽ +1278 ₽ (46.95%) 14.08.2026 Риком-Траст
Икс 5 - покупка на 5 звезд 4320 ₽ +1598 ₽ (58.71%) 29.04.2026 Велес Капитал
Икс 5: не забудьте добавить в корзину 5010 ₽ +2288 ₽ (84.06%) 28.03.2026 Т-инвестиции
Икс 5: пакет для денег нужен? 4500 ₽ +1778 ₽ (65.32%) 19.02.2026 СОЛИД
Икс 5: каждому покупателю - огромные дивиденды 4900 ₽ +2178 ₽ (80.01%) 12.02.2026 Атон
Х5: сила Икс! 4819.23 ₽ +2097.23 ₽ (77.05%) 30.01.2026 АКБФ
Х5: акции добавлены в корзину 3900 ₽ +1178 ₽ (43.28%) 30.01.2026 ЦИФРА Брокер
X5: выбор покупателей 4000 ₽ +1278 ₽ (46.95%) 30.01.2026 ЛМС
X5: акционеры получат сверхспособности 3600 ₽ +878 ₽ (32.26%) 30.01.2026 SberCIB
ИКС 5: у вас купон на дивиденд 3700 ₽ +978 ₽ (35.93%) 16.01.2026 Альфа Банк
X5: купи все по списку 4396 ₽ +1674 ₽ (61.5%) 16.01.2026 Газпромбанк Инвестиции
X5: перегретый, но перспективный 3990 ₽ +1268 ₽ (46.58%) 16.01.2026 Финам
ИКС 5: выбор в пользу будущего 3600 ₽ +878 ₽ (32.26%) 10.01.2026 Синара Инвестбанк
Х5: инфляция порождает дивиденды 3700 ₽ +978 ₽ (35.93%) 09.01.2026 БКС
X5: возвращение блудного сына 3769 ₽ +1047 ₽ (38.46%) 09.01.2026 ПСБ

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 1 156.45
Current price = 2 722 ₽ (difference = -57.51%)


Data

Dividend Discount Model

Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 19 184.02
Current price = 2 722 ₽ (difference = +604.78%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 43 315.63
Current price = 2 722 ₽ (difference = +1 491.32%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 10 749.89
Current price = 2 722 ₽ (difference = +294.93%)


Data

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