Average analyst price
Fair price = 16 144.74 ₽
Current price = 16 300 ₽ (difference = -0.9525%)
| Idea | Price forecast | Changes | Expiration date | Analyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Полюс: всех озолотит | 15700 ₽ | -600 ₽ (-3.68%) | 25.02.2025 | Финам - спекулятивный портфель |
| Полюс не успокоится, пока всех не озолотит | 18807.8 ₽ | +2507.8 ₽ (15.39%) | 25.10.2025 | Т-инвестиции |
| Полюс: золотой тренд | 19400 ₽ | +3100 ₽ (19.02%) | 21.10.2025 | СОЛИД |
| Полюс не тает | 14000 ₽ | -2300 ₽ (-14.11%) | 27.08.2025 | Тинькофф |
| Полюс: ты просто золото | 16500 ₽ | +200 ₽ (1.23%) | 19.08.2025 | Риком-Траст |
| Все стрелки указывают на Полюс | 15731.3 ₽ | -568.7 ₽ (-3.49%) | 09.07.2025 | АКБФ |
| Северный Полюс Золото | 16000 ₽ | -300 ₽ (-1.84%) | 25.06.2025 | SberCIB |
| Плюс и ЮГК: золото высшей пробы | 16550 ₽ | +250 ₽ (1.53%) | 13.05.2025 | Альфа Инвестиции |
| Полюс: Золотой всплеск | 14163 ₽ | -2137 ₽ (-13.11%) | 21.03.2025 | Велес Капитал |
| Полюс - победитель Олимпиады | 13640 ₽ | -2660 ₽ (-16.32%) | 28.02.2025 | РСХБ Брокер |
| Полюс значит на север, то есть наверх | 17100 ₽ | +800 ₽ (4.91%) | 28.02.2025 | ПСБ |
Price based on EPS
Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 7 755.29 ₽
Current price = 16 300 ₽ (difference = -52.42%)
Data
Dividend Discount Model
Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 10 801.96 ₽
Current price = 16 300 ₽ (difference = -33.73%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 73 262.15 ₽
Current price = 16 300 ₽ (difference = +349.46%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 198 778.48 ₽
Current price = 16 300 ₽ (difference = +1 119.5%)
Data
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