MOEX: MAGN - ММК

Yield per half year: -18.7%
Dividend yield: +3.07%
Sector: Металлургия Черн.

Current price
36.455
Average price
45.01+23.48%

Average analyst price
64.17+76.01%
Price based on EPS
69.53+90.74%
Price according to DDM model
38.4+5.34%
Price according to DCF model (FCF)
18.12-50.28%
Discount price Net Income
34.84-4.42%
6/10
64.0064.0056.0056.0048.0048.0040.0040.0032.0032.0024.0024.00Apr '24Apr '24May '24May '24Jun '24Jun '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Sep '24Sep '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '24Dec '24Dec '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Mar '25Mar '25

Average analyst price

Fair price = 64.17
Current price = 36.46 ₽ (difference = +76.01%)

IdeaPrice forecastChangesExpiration dateAnalyst
ММК: капвложения - в топку 52 ₽ +15.55 ₽ (42.64%) 20.03.2026 ПСБ
ММК: куй железо, пока горячо 55 ₽ +18.55 ₽ (50.87%) 19.02.2026 Атон
ММК: железные дивиденды 67.494 ₽ +31.04 ₽ (85.14%) 25.07.2025 Альфа Инвестиции
ММК: железный аргумент 70 ₽ +33.55 ₽ (92.02%) 19.07.2025 SberCIB
ММК: улететь наверх пора 68.8 ₽ +32.35 ₽ (88.73%) 24.05.2025 КИТ Финанс
ММК: наверстывая упущенное 71.7 ₽ +35.25 ₽ (96.68%) 05.04.2025 Велес Капитал
64.1776.01

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 69.53
Current price = 36.46 ₽ (difference = +90.74%)


Data

Dividend Discount Model

Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 38.4
Current price = 36.46 ₽ (difference = +5.34%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 670.39
Current price = 36.46 ₽ (difference = +1 738.94%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 18.12
Current price = 36.46 ₽ (difference = -50.28%)


Data

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