TSE: 6178 - Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.

Yield per half year: +15%
Dividend yield: +5.99%
Sector: Financials

Reporting Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.

Capitalization

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	LTM	5 year average	CAGR 5
Капитализация, млрд ¥				4 260			3 740	4260.00	0.00
Выручка, млрд ¥	12 775	11 950.18	11 720.4	11 264.77	11 138.58	11 982.15	11 982.15	11611.22	0.05
Чистая прибыль, млрд ¥	479.42	483.73	418.24	501.69	431.05	268.69	268.69	420.68	-11.09
EV, млрд ¥	-46 876.46	-50 009.23	-54 347.32	-58 773.83	-64 276.26	-54 368.79	-54 368.79	-56355.0860	1.69
EBIT, млрд ¥	652.42	665.13	604.04	467.79	695.37	629.03	629.03	612.27	-1.11
EBITDA, млрд ¥	922.09	959.31	890.49	724.46	923.84	873.96	873.96	874.41	-1.85
Баланс стоимость, млрд ¥	13 293.51	10 934.15	13 794.36	12 309.39	10 077.59	10 266.96	10 266.96	11476.49	-1.25
FCF, млрд ¥	-3 914.03	91.99	6 738.31	4 780.38	-8 474.44	-2 679.02	-2 679.02	91.44	-296.27
Операционный денежный поток, млрд ¥	-3 609.8	305.85	6 965.16	4 984.17	-8 151.23	-2 359.05	-2 359.05	348.98	-250.47
Операционная прибыль, млрд ¥	717.81	665.13	604.04	467.79	374.02	609.33	609.33	544.06	-1.74
Операционные расходы, млрд ¥	12 036.86	11 155.81	10 918.18	10 414.21	10 460.5	11 294.15	11 294.15	10848.57	0.25
CAPEX, млрд ¥	304.23	213.86	226.85	203.79	323.21	203.79	203.79	234.30	-0.96

	2022Q1	2022Q2	2022Q3	2022Q4	2023Q1	2023Q2	2023Q3	2023Q4	2024Q1	2024Q2	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
Выручка, млрд ¥	2 751.8	2 718.25	2 732.21	2 961.33	427 508.75	2 762.88	2 855.3	2 814.42	3 500.78	2 664.36	2919.55	-0.72
Чистая прибыль, млрд ¥	98.23	118.56	87.36	170.37	8 589.73	-8.54	128.77	101.74	46.71	74.71	68.68	-254.31
EV, млрд ¥	-58 597.71	-58 098.74	-57 584.14	-62 679.08	-10 095 520.44	-59 092.99	-58 576.71	-54 373.76	-36 101.24	-35 004.52	-48629.8440	-9.94
EBIT, млрд ¥	148.99	168.94	142.41	195.8	15 434.01	-24.29	234.09	179.72	-111.61	173.78	90.34	-248.22
EBITDA, млрд ¥	208.92	226.7	199.43	253.6	24 357.21	35.23	293.53	241.43	-47.35	238.5	152.27	46.59
Баланс стоимость, млрд ¥	12 309.39	11 897.93	11 319.21	11 135.46	1 579 977.17	10 382.22	9 813.36	10 102.94	10 266.96	10 052.23	10123.54	-0.64
FCF, млрд ¥				18 291.82	115.03	119.04	118.88	123.43			3753.64	-63.20
Операционный денежный поток, млрд ¥	4 984.17		-10 826.48	18 291.82	115.03	119.04	118.88	123.43			3753.64	-63.20
Операционная прибыль, млрд ¥	148.99	168.94	142.41	195.8	15 434.01	-23.79	183.76	141.26	137.36	-51.13	77.49	16.53
Операционные расходы, млрд ¥	2 568.59	2 540.76	2 561.07	2 747.06	409 452.1	2 687.91	2 622.36	2 634.55	3 266.43	2 501.71	2742.59	-1.43
CAPEX, млрд ¥	203.79		122.83		323.21						216.61	16.62

	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

Cash flow Cash flow quarterly Assets

Balance sheet

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	LTM	5 year average	CAGR 5
Наличность, млрд ¥	52 244.47	53 680.38	62 719.11	68 502.67	70 243.19	59 507.48	59 507.48	62930.57	2.08
Short Term Investments ¥	11 160.34	10 431.52	10 425.56	12 460.64	11 764.07	14 485	14 485	11913.36	6.79
Total Receivables ¥	11 160.34	13 036.1						12098.22	8.08
Total Current Assets ¥	86 395.94	66 716.48	62 719.11	68 502.67	70 243.19	144 830.83	144 830.83	82602.46	16.77
Чистые активы, млрд ¥	86 395.94	66 716.48	62 719.11	3 105.1	3 178.68		3 178.68	44423.06	-48.34
Активы, млрд ¥	286 170.71	286 098.45	297 738.13	303 846.98	296 111.59	298 689.15	298 689.15	296496.86	0.87
Short Term Debt ¥		21 668.2	0.514	31 712.56	24 514.34	30 321.43	30 321.43	21643.41	6.95
Long Term Debt ¥	6 277.29		4 721.26	6 369.03	2 249.53		2 249.53	4904.28	-22.63
Задолженность, млрд ¥	271 382.06	273 481.68	281 667.07	289 158	4 068.15	282 950.62	282 950.62	226265.10	0.68
Чистый долг, млрд ¥	-52 116.44	-53 278.18	-58 190.93	-62 259.78	-68 116.91	-59 507.48	-59 507.48	-60270.6560	2.24
Долг, млрд ¥	128.03	402.2	4 528.18	38 081.59	26 763.87	32 935.83	32 935.83	20542.33	141.35
Расходы на обслуживание долга ¥					19.44		19.44	19.44	0.00
Амортизация, млрд ¥	269.67	294.18	286.45	256.68	228.46	244.93	244.93	262.14	-3.60
Себестоимость, млрд ¥						199.77	199.77	199.77	0.00
Товарно материальные запасы ¥		37 178.34						37178.34	0.00

	2022Q1	2022Q2	2022Q3	2022Q4	2023Q1	2023Q2	2023Q3	2023Q4	2024Q1	2024Q2	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
Наличность, млрд ¥	68 502.67	67 041.38	62 042.7	67 626.65	11 012 810.2	64 795.35	65 193.45	60 838.62	73 992.48	76 981.28	68360.24	3.51
Short Term Investments ¥					1 844 384.41	12 847.8	11 037.9	11 199.82	11 330.87	10 875.47	11458.37	-3.28
Total Current Assets ¥	68 502.67	67 041.38	62 042.7	67 626.65	11 012 810.2	64 795.35	65 193.45	60 838.62	85 323.35	87 856.75	72801.50	6.28
Чистые активы, млрд ¥	68 502.67	67 041.38	62 042.7	67 626.65	498 357.23	3 151.84					139643.96	-45.74
Активы, млрд ¥	303 846.98	304 350.45	295 203.31	293 985.19	46 424 726.6	296 404.53	295 910.47	294 067.28	298 689.15	304 718.07	297957.90	0.55
Short Term Debt ¥			1.15	0.918	3 843 387.99	22 866.93	25 630.78	23 134.61	30 321.43	34 321.25	27255.00	8.46
Long Term Debt ¥			926.39	920.88	352 683.67						118176.98	624.76
Задолженность, млрд ¥	289 158	290 160.91	281 694.27	280 754.87	333 360.55	4 202.37	2 357.9	2 398.1	282 949.34	289 319.51	116245.44	133.12
Чистый долг, млрд ¥	-62 259.78	-61 638.22	-61 116.31	-66 705.77	-10 679 449.65	-62 663.53	-62 835.55	-58 440.52	-41 056.65	-39 931.74	-52985.5980	-8.62
Долг, млрд ¥	6 242.89	5 403.17	926.39	920.88	333 360.55	2 131.82	2 357.9	2 398.1	32 935.83	37 049.54	15374.64	77.01
Расходы на обслуживание долга ¥					3 047.2						3047.20	0.00
Амортизация, млрд ¥		57.76	57.02	57.8	8 923.2	59.52	59.44	61.72	64.26	64.72	61.93	1.69

	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

Share

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	LTM	5 year average	CAGR 5
EPS	118.57	119.64	103.44	131.93	120.82	80.26		80.26	111.22	-7.67
Цена акции ао				1225.5	1259.5	1490.5	1564	1564	1384.88	6.29
Число акций ао, млн	4043.2	4043	4043	3802.72	3567.71	3347.68		3347.68	3760.82	-3.70
FCF/акцию	-968.05	22.75	1666.51	1257.09	-2375.31	-800.26		-800.26	-45.8440	-303.82

	2022Q1	2022Q2	2022Q3	2022Q4	2023Q1	2023Q2	2023Q3	2023Q4	2024Q1	2024Q2	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
EPS	24.59	32.46	23.92	46.65	2482.72	-2.47	37.43	31.4	14.47	23.36	20.84	-256.73
FCF/акцию					33.25	34.41	34.56	38.09			35.08	3.46

	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

Efficiency

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	LTM	Industry average	5 year average	CAGR 5
ROE, %	3.61	3.99	3.38	3.84	3.85	2.64		2.64	7.03	3.54	-7.93
ROA, %	0.1662	0.1691	0.1433	0.1668	0.1437	0.0903		0.0903	1.11	0.1426	-11.79
ROIC, %		5.16	1.42	1.36	1.86			1.86	4.14	2.45	-22.52
ROS, %		4.05	3.57	4.45	3.87	2.24	2.24	2.24	11.90	3.27	-8.90
ROCE, %	0.688	0.7412	0.6376	0.1721	0.2564	0.2107	4	4	8.55	1.06	44.38
Ebit margin, %		3.1	2.71	4.15	6.24	5.25	5.25	5.25		4.72	14.14
Рентаб EBITDA, %	7.22	8.03	7.6	6.43	8.29	7.29	7.29	7.29	21.74	7.38	-0.83
Чистая рентаб, %	3.75	4.05	3.57	4.45	3.87	2.24		2.24	11.90	3.64	-11.17
Operation Margin, %		3.1	2.71	4.15	3.36	5.09	5.09	5.09	24.87	4.08	13.44

	2022Q1	2022Q2	2022Q3	2022Q4	2023Q1	2023Q2	2023Q3	2023Q4	2024Q1	2024Q2	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
ROE, %	0.7371	0.9155	0.6992	1.43	0.4812	-0.0782	1.22	0.9952	0.4616	0.7397	7.03	0.6677	-256.74
ROA, %	0.0325	0.039	0.0291	0.0578	0.0186	-0.0029	0.0435	0.0345	0.0158	0.0248	1.11	0.0231	-253.61
ROS, %						-0.3089	4.51	3.61	1.33	2.8	11.90	2.39	-255.41
ROCE, %	0.1638	0.1876	0.1619	0.141	0.0361	-0.0089	0.0863	0.0663	-0.0413	0.0645	8.55	0.0334	-248.61
Ebit margin, %						-0.879	8.2	6.39	-3.19	6.52		3.41	-249.30
Рентаб EBITDA, %	7.59	8.34	7.3	8.56	5.7	1.28	10.28	8.58	-1.35	8.95	21.74	5.55	47.54
Чистая рентаб, %	3.57	4.36	3.2	5.75	2.01	-0.3089	4.51	3.61	1.33	2.8	11.90	2.39	-255.41
Operation Margin, %						-0.8611	6.44	5.02	3.92	-1.92	24.87	2.52	17.39

	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

Coefficients

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	LTM	Industry average	5 year average	CAGR 5
P/E	10.93	6.76	9.19	6.95	8.91	19.13		19.13	18.56	10.19	23.13
P/BV	0.3543	0.0114	0.0131	0.2373	0.0132	0.3265		0.3265	0.96	0.1203	95.61
P/S	0.4102	0.2735	0.3279	0.3095	0.3448	0.4289		0.4289	1.85	0.3369	9.42
P/FCF					-0.4413	-1.4	-1.4	-1.4	19.75	-1.0804	46.94
E/P					0.1153	0.0718	0.0718	0.0718	0.10	0.0863	-14.61
EV/EBITDA	-50.84	-52.13	-61.03	-81.13	-69.58	-62.21		-62.21	-29.94	-65.2160	3.60
EV/EBIT		-134.81	-171.12	-125.64	-92.43	-86.43	-86.43	-86.43		-112.4100	-12.77
EV/S		-4.18	-4.64	-5.22	-5.77	-4.54	-4.54	-4.54	-8.38	-4.9420	-0.43
EV/FCF		-543.66	-8.07	-12.29	7.58	20.29	20.29	20.29	-193.61	5.56	-220.25
Debt/EBITDA	0.1388	0.4193	5.09	52.57	28.97	37.69	37.69	37.69	19.43	32.40	49.25
Netdebt/Ebitda		-80.1	-96.34	-85.94	-73.73	-68.09	-68.09	-68.09	-38.54	-78.4380	-6.71
Debt/Ratio		0.0014	0.1005	0.1253	0.0904	0.1103	0.1103	0.1103	0.09	0.1074	1.88
Debt/Equity		0.0368	2.17	3.09	2.66	3.21	10.36	10.36	22.92	4.30	36.70
Debt/Net Income		0.8315	71.57	75.91	62.09	122.58	122.58	122.58	37.65	90.95	11.36
Бета				0.41	1.33	1.22	-1.35	-1.35	-1.08	0.4025	-234.71
Индекс Альтмана				0	0.0371	0.0317	0.0317	0.0317	-0.57	0.0335	-5.11

	2022Q1	2022Q2	2022Q3	2022Q4	2023Q1	2023Q2	2023Q3	2023Q4	2024Q1	2024Q2	2025Q1	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
P/E	7.3	8.21	8.37	8.64	8.92		12.51	15.27	18.99	14.44		18.56	14.03	10.11
P/BV	0.2493	0.2494	0.2615	0.3044	0.0127	0.0122	0.0145	0.0139	0.3148	0.32		0.96	0.1351	92.20
P/S	0.3251	0.3404	0.3367	0.3685	0.3441	0.3242	0.3805	0.382	0.4286	0.426		1.85	0.3883	5.61
EV/EBITDA	-59.8	-63.52	-65.95	-70.53	-82.84	-82.2	-74.61	-72.93	-69.05	-48.21		-29.94	-69.4000	-10.12
EV/EBIT						2433.21	-250.23	-302.55	323.46	-201.43			400.49	-160.76
EV/S						-21.39	-20.52	-19.32	-10.31	-13.14		-8.38	-16.9360	-9.29
EV/FCF						-496.41	-492.74	-440.52				-193.61	-476.5567	-3.90
Debt/EBITDA	29.88	23.83	4.65	3.63	13.69	60.5	8.03	9.93	-695.54	155.34		19.43	-92.3480	20.76
Netdebt/Ebitda						-1778.5	-214.07	-242.06	867.03	-167.43		-38.54	-307.0060	-37.66
Debt/Ratio						0.0072	0.008	0.0082	0.1103	0.1216		0.09	0.0511	76.00
Debt/Equity						0.2053	0.2403	0.2374	3.21	3.69		22.92	1.52	78.21
Debt/Net Income						-249.77	18.31	23.57	705.17	495.92		37.65	198.64	-214.70
Бета											-1.35	-1.08	-1.3500	0.00
Индекс Альтмана											0.0317	-0.57	0.0317	0.00

	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

Dividends

IFRS

Reporting Annual Quarterly

	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	LTM	Industry average	5 year average	CAGR 5
Див.выплата, млрд			230.38	202.27	101.26	202.18	183	255.68		255.68		188.88	4.80
Дивиденд	50	50	32	50	25	50	50	75	50	50		50.00	14.87
Див доход, ао, %	3.43	3.87	2.53	4.87	3.11	5.58	11.25	5.93	5.34	5.99	5.17	6.24	11.42
Дивиденды / прибыль, %				48.05	41.81	24.21	40.3	42.45	95.16	95.16	49.29	48.79	17.88

	2022Q1	2022Q3	2023Q1	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5
Див.выплата, млрд	202.18	182.86	183		189.35	-3.27
Дивиденды / прибыль, %	205.81	209.32	334.01	49.29	249.71	17.52

	Industry average	5 quarters average	CAGR 5

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Other

IFRS

Reporting Annual

	2022	2023	2024	CAGR 5
Персонал, чел	234422	232112	227369	-1.01

	CAGR 5

	CAGR 5