Fair price VK - Mail.Ru Group
Average analyst price
Fair price = 382.17 ₽
Current price = 293.6 ₽ (difference = +30.17%)
| Idea | Price forecast | Changes | Expiration date | Analyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ВКонтакте с госзаказом - апсайд в друзьях | 425 ₽ | +131.4 ₽ (44.75%) | 25.08.2026 | Риком-Траст |
| ВК: статус - в активном поиске | 399.67 ₽ | +106.07 ₽ (36.13%) | 16.07.2026 | АКБФ |
| ВК с положительной EBITDA | 314 ₽ | +20.4 ₽ (6.95%) | 24.06.2026 | ПСБ |
| ВК: слишком перепродано | 390 ₽ | +96.4 ₽ (32.83%) | 20.02.2026 | Атон |
Price based on EPS
Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 402.1 ₽
Current price = 293.6 ₽ (difference = +36.96%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -31.55 ₽
Current price = 293.6 ₽ (difference = -110.74%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 26.11 ₽
Current price = 293.6 ₽ (difference = -91.11%)
Data
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Based on sources: porti.ru
