Average analyst price
Fair price = 669.08 ₽
Current price = 411.75 ₽ (difference = +62.5%)
| Idea | Price forecast | Changes | Expiration date | Analyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Астра: впереди расцвет | 610 ₽ | +198.25 ₽ (48.15%) | 20.12.2025 | Т-инвестиции |
| Астра: букет пахнет ростом | 626.44 ₽ | +214.69 ₽ (52.14%) | 17.12.2025 | Финам |
| Астра: цветет даже зимой | 610 ₽ | +198.25 ₽ (48.15%) | 13.12.2025 | Синара Инвестбанк |
| Астра: растет без удобрений | 673 ₽ | +261.25 ₽ (63.45%) | 27.08.2025 | СОЛИД |
| Астра: пыльца струится без конца | 667 ₽ | +255.25 ₽ (61.99%) | 26.08.2025 | ЦИФРА Брокер |
| Астра: летнее цветение | 634.6 ₽ | +222.85 ₽ (54.12%) | 10.07.2025 | Альфа Инвестиции |
| ГК Астра: программно обеспеченные | 807.89 ₽ | +396.14 ₽ (96.21%) | 17.06.2025 | Hard Trade |
| Астра: цветик-семицветик | 649 ₽ | +237.25 ₽ (57.62%) | 04.06.2025 | КИТ Финанс |
| Астра. Программное обеспечение в массы | 742.83 ₽ | +331.08 ₽ (80.41%) | 22.04.2025 | АКБФ |
| Через тернии к Астрам, или SPO росту не помеха | 670 ₽ | +258.25 ₽ (62.72%) | 19.04.2025 | ПСБ |
| 669.08 | 62.5 |
Price based on EPS
Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 42.73 ₽
Current price = 411.75 ₽ (difference = -89.62%)
Data
Dividend Discount Model
Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 62.43 ₽
Current price = 411.75 ₽ (difference = -84.84%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 1 523.62 ₽
Current price = 411.75 ₽ (difference = +270.03%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 1 114.51 ₽
Current price = 411.75 ₽ (difference = +170.68%)
Data
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