MOEX: AKRN - Акрон

Yield per half year: +10.34%
Sector: Химия Удобрения

Current price
17268
Average price
8595.96-50.22%

Average analyst price
16224.68-6.04%
Price based on EPS
2532.24-85.34%
Price according to DCF model (FCF)
14585.57-15.53%
Discount price Net Income
8231.1-52.33%
0/10

Average analyst price

Fair price = 16 224.68
Current price = 17 268 ₽ (difference = -6.04%)

Idea Price forecast Changes Expiration date Analyst
Акрон удобрил Минфин 20937.1 ₽ +3669.1 ₽ (21.25%) 04.10.2025 АКБФ
Акрон: что вы тут нахимичили? 10837 ₽ -6431 ₽ (-37.24%) 25.09.2025 Велес Капитал
Акрон - шорт удобряем 16900 ₽ -368 ₽ (-2.13%) 27.03.2025 SberCIB

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 2 532.24
Current price = 17 268 ₽ (difference = -85.34%)


Data

Dividend Discount Model

Price = (DPS * (1 + g)) / (Cost Of Equity - g)
Price - Fair price
DPS — Current dividend
g — expected growth rate
Cost Of Equity — discount rate
Cost Of Equity = k(f) + β * Risk Premium + Country Premium (Damodaran table)
k(f) — risk-free rate of return
β (beta) — determines the measure of risk of a stock (asset) in relation to the market and shows the sensitivity of changes in the stock's profitability in relation to changes in market profitability. Beta can be calculated not only for an individual stock, but also for an investment portfolio.
Risk Premium — risk premium - premium for the risk of investing in shares
Country Premium - country risk
Fair price = 1 406.2
Current price = 17 268 ₽ (difference = -91.86%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 81 233.99
Current price = 17 268 ₽ (difference = +370.43%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 14 585.57
Current price = 17 268 ₽ (difference = -15.53%)


Data

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