Price based on EPS
Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 50.01 HK$
Current price = 52.65 HK$ (difference = -5.02%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 3 452.93 HK$
Current price = 52.65 HK$ (difference = +6 458.27%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -0.9609 HK$
Current price = 52.65 HK$ (difference = -101.83%)
Data
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