HKEX: 9858 - China Youran Dairy Group Limited

Yield per half year: +107.83%
Dividend yield: 0.00%
Sector: Consumer Staples

Current price
2.39 HK$
Average price
1.01 HK$ -57.73%

Price based on EPS
1.96 HK$ -17.94%
0/10
2.872.872.272.271.661.661.051.05Apr '24Apr '24May '24May '24Jun '24Jun '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Sep '24Sep '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '24Dec '24Dec '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Mar '25Mar '25

Price based on EPS

Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 1.96 HK$
Current price = 2.39 HK$ (difference = -17.94%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 14.06 HK$
Current price = 2.39 HK$ (difference = +488.39%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -24.24 HK$
Current price = 2.39 HK$ (difference = -1 114.3%)


Data

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