Price based on EPS
Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 12.04 HK$
Current price = 8.46 HK$ (difference = +42.35%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value β cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value β cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = β (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -43.14 HK$
Current price = 8.46 HK$ (difference = -609.92%)
Data
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