Price based on EPS
Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 10.04 HK$
Current price = 4.13 HK$ (difference = +143.08%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based EBITDA)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -141.68 HK$
Current price = 4.13 HK$ (difference = -3 530.61%)
Data
Discounted Cash Flow (Based FCF)
Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -5.04 HK$
Current price = 4.13 HK$ (difference = -222.02%)
Data
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