Ecopetrol S.A.

Yield per half year: +7.81%
Dividend yield: 12.82%
Sector: Energy

Company Analysis Ecopetrol S.A.

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • Price (9.6 $) is less than fair price (71.57 $)
  • Dividends (12.82%) are higher than the sector average (4.31%).
  • The stock's return over the last year (7.21%) is higher than the sector average (-28.52%).

Disadvantages

  • Current debt level 38.82% has increased over 5 years from 33.52%.
  • The company's current efficiency (ROE=18.88%) is lower than the sector average (ROE=28.74%)

Similar companies

Occidental Petroleum

Exxon Mobil

Equinor ASA

Chevron

2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.3. Market efficiency

Ecopetrol S.A. Energy Index
7 days 4.2% -17.9% 0.8%
90 days 9.7% -20.4% 4.9%
1 year 7.2% -28.5% 17.3%

EC vs Sector: Ecopetrol S.A. has outperformed the "Energy" sector by 35.73% over the past year.

EC vs Market: Ecopetrol S.A. has significantly underperformed the market by -10.05% over the past year.

Stable price: EC is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "New York Stock Exchange" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: EC with weekly volatility of 0.14% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 4.6
P/S: 0.52

3.2. Revenue

EPS 7264.69
ROE 18.88%
ROA 5.15%
ROIC 14.58%
Ebitda margin 39.59%

5. Fundamental Analysis

5.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Below fair price: The current price (9.6 $) is lower than the fair price (71.57 $).

Price significantly below the fair price: The current price (9.6 $) is 645.5% lower than the fair price.

5.2. P/E

P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (4.6) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (21.39).

P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (4.6) is lower than that of the market as a whole (73.05).

5.2.1 P/E Similar companies

5.3. P/BV

P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (0.65) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (1.96).

P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (0.65) is lower than that of the market as a whole (20.45).

5.3.1 P/BV Similar companies

5.5. P/S

P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (0.52) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (2.84).

P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (0.52) is lower than that of the market as a whole (30.65).

5.5.1 P/S Similar companies

5.5. EV/Ebitda

EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (3.26) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (8.3).

EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (3.26) is lower than that of the market as a whole (36.12).

6. Profitability

6.1. Profitability and revenue

6.2. Earnings per share - EPS

6.3. Past profitability Net Income

Yield Trend: Negative and has fallen by -0.91% over the last 5 years.

Accelerating profitability: The return for the last year (0%) exceeds the average return for 5 years (-0.91%).

Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (0%) is lower than the return for the sector (0%).

6.4. ROE

ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (18.88%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (28.74%).

ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (18.88%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (51.58%).

6.6. ROA

ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (5.15%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (6.86%).

ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (5.15%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (11.19%).

6.6. ROIC

ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (14.58%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (14.78%).

ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (14.58%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (45.09%).

7. Finance

7.1. Assets and debt

Debt level: (38.82%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Increasing debt: over 5 years, the debt has increased from 33.52% to 38.82%.

Excess of debt: The debt is not covered by net income, percentage 775.22%.

7.2. Profit growth and share price

8. Dividends

8.1. Dividend yield vs Market

High yield: The dividend yield of the company 12.82% is higher than the average for the sector '4.31%.

8.2. Stability and increase in payments

Dividend stability: The company's dividend yield 12.82% has been steadily paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.79.

Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 12.82% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 0 years.

8.3. Payout percentage

Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (104.22%) are at an uncomfortable level.

9. Insider trades

9.1. Insider trading

Insider Buying Exceeds insider sales by 100% over the last 3 months.

9.2. Latest transactions

No insider transactions have been recorded yet

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