Транснефть

MOEX
TRNF
Stock
Yield per half year: +15.5%
Dividend yield: 15.8%
Sector: Транспорт

Company Analysis Транснефть

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • Price (1253 ₽) is less than fair price (1609.41 ₽)
  • Dividends (15.8%) are higher than the sector average (6.58%).
  • Current debt level 6.79% is below 100% and has decreased over 5 years from 19.13%.
  • The company's current efficiency (ROE=9.4%) is higher than the sector average (ROE=-1.08%)

Disadvantages

  • The stock's return over the last year (-3.82%) is lower than the sector average (25.68%).

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2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.3. Market efficiency

Транснефть Транспорт Index
7 days -13.3% 1% 5.4%
90 days -15.1% -1.9% -2.7%
1 year -3.8% 25.7% -6.6%

TRNF vs Sector: Транснефть has significantly underperformed the "Транспорт" sector by -29.51% over the past year.

TRNF vs Market: Транснефть has outperformed the market by 2.75% over the past year.

Stable price: TRNF is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "Московская биржа" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: TRNF with weekly volatility of -0.0736% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 3.34
P/S: 0.65

3.2. Revenue

EPS 484.9
ROE 9.4%
ROA 7.3%
ROIC 0%
Ebitda margin 38.4%

4. Fundamental Analysis

4.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Below fair price: The current price (1253 ₽) is lower than the fair price (1609.41 ₽).

Price significantly below the fair price: The current price (1253 ₽) is 28.4% lower than the fair price.

4.2. P/E

P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (3.34) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (4.27).

P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (3.34) is lower than that of the market as a whole (6.46).

4.2.1 P/E Similar companies

4.3. P/BV

P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (0.32) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (-0.1521).

P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (0.32) is lower than that of the market as a whole (1.33).

4.3.1 P/BV Similar companies

4.4. P/S

P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (0.65) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (0.9683).

P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (0.65) is lower than that of the market as a whole (0.9633).

4.4.1 P/S Similar companies

4.5. EV/Ebitda

EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (1.23) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (1.57).

EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (1.23) is lower than that of the market as a whole (1.57).

5. Profitability

5.1. Profitability and revenue

5.2. Earnings per share - EPS

5.3. Past profitability Net Income

Yield Trend: Rising and has grown by 21.52% over the last 5 years.

Earnings Slowdown: The last year's return (-4.03%) is below the 5-year average return (21.52%).

Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (-4.03%) is lower than the return for the sector (-2.57%).

5.4. ROE

ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (9.4%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (-1.08%).

ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (9.4%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.32%).

5.5. ROA

ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (7.3%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (9.51%).

ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (7.3%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (7.71%).

5.6. ROIC

ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (0%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (22.94%).

ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (0%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (18.47%).

6. Finance

6.1. Assets and debt

Debt level: (6.79%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Debt reduction: over 5 years, the debt has decreased from 19.13% to 6.79%.

Debt Covering: The debt is covered by 92.9% from net profit.

6.2. Profit growth and share price

7. Dividends

7.1. Dividend yield vs Market

High yield: The dividend yield of the company 15.8% is higher than the average for the sector '6.58%.

7.2. Stability and increase in payments

Dividend stability: The company's dividend yield 15.8% has been steadily paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.93.

Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 15.8% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 3 years.

7.3. Payout percentage

Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (52%) are at a comfortable level.

8. Insider trades

8.1. Insider trading

Insider Buying Exceeds insider sales by 100% over the last 3 months.

8.2. Latest transactions

No insider transactions have been recorded yet

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9. Stocks forum Транснефть

9.1. Stocks forum - Latest comments

16 july 11:49
Транснефть: прогнозируем двухзначную дивидендную доходность и за 2025 https://bcs-express.ru/novosti-i-analitika/transneft-prognoziruem-dvukhznachnuiu-dividendnuiu-dokhodnost-i-za-2025-g

16 july 11:29
Выводы: ✔️ В среднем дивидендные гэпы по привилегированным акциям Транснефти закрываются за 1,5 месяца. ✔️ В этом году размер гэпа будет больше среднего за счёт высокой доходности, но закрыться может чуть быстрее. К этому располагает высокая форвардная дивидендная доходность и позитивный эффект снижения ставок. ✔️ Также поддержать покупки после гэпа может улучшение рыночного фона во второй половине июля – начале августа. ✔️ На наш взгляд, ориентироваться можно на срок 20–30 торговых дней. На фактический срок могут сильно повлиять геополитика и другие плохо предсказуемые факторы. (Альфа Инвестор). https://alfabank.ru/alfa-investor/t/dividendy-transnefti-kak-bystro-zakroetsya-gep/

16 july 11:20
Показать в полный размер Консервативный прогноз по EBITDA. (БКС Мир Инвестиций).

9.3. Comments