MOEX: NLMK - НЛМК

Yield per half year: +7.22%
Dividend yield: +12.98%
Sector: Металлургия Черн.

Company Analysis НЛМК

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • Current debt level 13.29% is below 100% and has decreased over 5 years from 25.33%.
  • The company's current efficiency (ROE=12.46%) is higher than the sector average (ROE=11.67%)

Disadvantages

  • Price (154.46 ₽) is higher than fair price (44.82 ₽)
  • Dividends (12.98%) are below the sector average (20.12%).
  • The stock's return over the last year (-29.61%) is lower than the sector average (-25.23%).

2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.2. News

No news yet

2.3. Market efficiency

НЛМК Металлургия Черн. Index
7 days -4.3% 2.1% -2.1%
90 days 15.5% 18.5% 18.1%
1 year -29.6% -25.2% -3.8%

NLMK vs Sector: НЛМК has slightly underperformed the "Металлургия Черн." sector by -4.38% over the past year.

NLMK vs Market: НЛМК has significantly underperformed the market by -25.82% over the past year.

Stable price: NLMK is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "Московская биржа" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: NLMK with weekly volatility of -0.5695% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 11.72
P/S: 2.13

3.2. Revenue

EPS 15.31
ROE 12.46%
ROA 8.81%
ROIC 56.09%
Ebitda margin 0%

4. Fundamental Analysis

4.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Above fair price: The current price (154.46 ₽) is higher than the fair price (44.82 ₽).

Price is higher than fair: The current price (154.46 ₽) is 71% higher than the fair price.

4.2. P/E

P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (11.72) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (6.37).

P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (11.72) is higher than that of the market as a whole (8.95).

4.2.1 P/E Similar companies

4.3. P/BV

P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (1.52) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (0.5482).

P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (1.52) is lower than that of the market as a whole (2.57).

4.3.1 P/BV Similar companies

4.4. P/S

P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (2.13) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (0.8391).

P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (2.13) is higher than that of the market as a whole (1.58).

4.4.1 P/S Similar companies

4.5. EV/Ebitda

EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (0) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (4.7).

EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (0) is higher than that of the market as a whole (-5.22).

5. Profitability

5.1. Profitability and revenue

5.2. Earnings per share - EPS

5.3. Past profitability Net Income

Yield Trend: Negative and has fallen by -4.55% over the last 5 years.

Accelerating profitability: The return for the last year (0%) exceeds the average return for 5 years (-4.55%).

Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (0%) is lower than the return for the sector (2.86%).

5.4. ROE

ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (12.46%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (11.67%).

ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (12.46%) is higher than that of the market as a whole (-4.31%).

5.5. ROA

ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (8.81%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (11.87%).

ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (8.81%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (8.83%).

5.6. ROIC

ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (56.09%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (38.04%).

ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (56.09%) is higher than that of the market as a whole (16.32%).

6. Finance

6.1. Assets and debt

Debt level: (13.29%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Debt reduction: over 5 years, the debt has decreased from 25.33% to 13.29%.

Excess of debt: The debt is not covered by net income, percentage 150.88%.

6.2. Profit growth and share price

7. Dividends

7.1. Dividend yield vs Market

Low yield: The dividend yield of the company 12.98% is below the average for the sector '20.12%.

7.2. Stability and increase in payments

Dividend stability: The company's dividend yield 12.98% has been steadily paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.79.

Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 12.98% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 0 years.

7.3. Payout percentage

Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (166%) are at an uncomfortable level.

8. Insider trades

8.1. Insider trading

Insider Buying Exceeds insider sales by 100% over the last 3 months.

8.2. Latest transactions

8.3. Main owners

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9. Stocks forum НЛМК

9.1. Stocks forum - Latest comments

11 march 22:58
Выпуск стали в России в феврале снизился на 3% (г/г) до 5,4 млн т. Падение экспорта и внутреннего потребления сдерживает производство — Ведомости

5 march 17:05
https://www.mk-lipetsk.ru/economics/2025/02/17/vladelec-nlmk-lisin-voshel-v-sotnyu-bogateyshikh-lyudey-planety.html Владелец НЛМК Лисин вошел в сотню богатейших людей планеты 17 февраля 2025 Всего-то надо было когда-то случайно приватизировать НЛМК…

3 march 09:27
Интересное наблюдение, сравнил минутные графики акции ГМК и НЛМК походу одинаковые роботы торгуют, т.е. руководит какая то одна избушка....

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14 march 20:23

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14 february 17:51

✔️ ЦБ решение принял, а вы?

ЦБ не стал снижать ключевую ставку в феврале, а аналитики Т-Инвестиций ожидают, что ставка останется неизменной и на следующем заседании, 21 марта. Плавное снижение ставки может начаться в середине года.

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9.3. Comments