MOEX: GMKN - Норникель (Норильский никель)

Yield per half year: -1.17%
Sector: Металлургия Цвет.

Company Analysis Норникель (Норильский никель)

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • The stock's return over the last year (-21.94%) is higher than the sector average (-30.33%).
  • Current debt level 43.39% is below 100% and has decreased over 5 years from 49.4%.
  • The company's current efficiency (ROE=39.7%) is higher than the sector average (ROE=3.88%)

Disadvantages

  • Price (122.82 ₽) is higher than fair price (11.85 ₽)
  • Dividends (0%) are below the sector average (0.4029%).

2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.2. News

No news yet

2.3. Market efficiency

Норникель (Норильский никель) Металлургия Цвет. Index
7 days -1.7% -3.8% 1.3%
90 days 23.9% 18.5% 14.2%
1 year -21.9% -30.3% -8.1%

GMKN vs Sector: Норникель (Норильский никель) has outperformed the "Металлургия Цвет." sector by 8.39% over the past year.

GMKN vs Market: Норникель (Норильский никель) has significantly underperformed the market by -13.8% over the past year.

Stable price: GMKN is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "Московская биржа" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: GMKN with weekly volatility of -0.4219% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 12.31
P/S: 2.04

3.2. Revenue

EPS 13.91
ROE 39.7%
ROA 10.86%
ROIC 47.72%
Ebitda margin 37.9%

4. Fundamental Analysis

4.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Above fair price: The current price (122.82 ₽) is higher than the fair price (11.85 ₽).

Price is higher than fair: The current price (122.82 ₽) is 90.4% higher than the fair price.

4.2. P/E

P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (12.31) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (12.01).

P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (12.31) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.68).

4.2.1 P/E Similar companies

4.3. P/BV

P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (3.86) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (2.71).

P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (3.86) is lower than that of the market as a whole (10.15).

4.3.1 P/BV Similar companies

4.4. P/S

P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (2.04) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (3.95).

P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (2.04) is higher than that of the market as a whole (1.91).

4.4.1 P/S Similar companies

4.5. EV/Ebitda

EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (6.86) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (-7.73).

EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (6.86) is higher than that of the market as a whole (2.22).

5. Profitability

5.1. Profitability and revenue

5.2. Earnings per share - EPS

5.3. Past profitability Net Income

Yield Trend: Negative and has fallen by -7.82% over the last 5 years.

Accelerating profitability: The return for the last year (0%) exceeds the average return for 5 years (-7.82%).

Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (0%) is lower than the return for the sector (0%).

5.4. ROE

ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (39.7%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (3.88%).

ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (39.7%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (68.42%).

5.5. ROA

ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (10.86%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (1.74%).

ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (10.86%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (17.61%).

5.6. ROIC

ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (47.72%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (21.28%).

ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (47.72%) is higher than that of the market as a whole (16.32%).

6. Finance

6.1. Assets and debt

Debt level: (43.39%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Debt reduction: over 5 years, the debt has decreased from 49.4% to 43.39%.

Excess of debt: The debt is not covered by net income, percentage 429.19%.

6.2. Profit growth and share price

7. Dividends

7.1. Dividend yield vs Market

Low yield: The dividend yield of the company 0% is below the average for the sector '0.4029%.

7.2. Stability and increase in payments

Unstable dividends: The company's dividend yield 0% has not been consistently paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.5.

Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 0% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 0 years.

7.3. Payout percentage

Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (66%) are at a comfortable level.

8. Insider trades

8.1. Insider trading

Insider Buying Exceeds insider sales by 100% over the last 3 months.

8.2. Latest transactions

No insider transactions have been recorded yet

8.3. Main owners

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9. Stocks forum Норникель (Норильский никель)

9.1. Stocks forum - Latest comments

24 january 17:48
Чё так бакс валится? ...47-й вроде закручивать болты против РФии собрался.... Принуждать и заставлять... А деревянный растёт словно снятие санкций замаячило. Которого не будет... никогда....

24 january 14:27
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/4061558?from=main_5

21 january 06:32
Доброго утра всем 🙂 👌✌☕🎠👀💖

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27 january 14:32

💿 Норильский никель #GMKN представил операционный отчёт.

🔸Производство никеля: 58.86 тыс. тонн (+5% кв/кв )
🔸Производство меди: 106,46 тыс. тонн (-1% кв/кв )
🔸Производство палладия: 606 тыс. унций (-10% кв/кв )
🔸Производство платины: 146 тыс. унций (-11% кв/кв )


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🔸Производство никеля: 205,07 тыс. тонн (-2% г/г )
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