NYSE: MOGU - MOGU Inc.

Yield per half year: +17.42%
Sector: Consumer Discretionary

Current price: 2.09 $
Average price: 1.17 $

Price based on EPS: 2.25 $ +7.59%
Price according to DCF model (ebitda): 1.22 $ -41.43%
3.33/10

Price based on EPS

Price = Price * (100 - CAGR EPS * Excess Key Rate) / 100
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 2.25 $
Current price = 2.09 $ (difference = +7.59%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 1.22 $
Current price = 2.09 $ (difference = -41.43%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = -67.42 $
Current price = 2.09 $ (difference = -3 325.8%)


Data

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